Rasmussen Reports on the Election?

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rasmussen reports
Tue Feb 19, 10:27 AM ET


The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Florida shows John McCain holding a six-percentage point lead over Hillary Clinton and an even larger lead of ÂÂsixteen percentage points ÂÂover Barack Obama. It's McCain 49% Clinton 43% and McCain 53% Obama 37%.


The survey also shows that McCain leads Obama by twenty-six points among women. Women are Hillary Clinton's strongest demographic. McCain leads Obama by twenty-five points among Senior Citizens, another demographic group that is generally supportive of Clinton.


Republican 55.0 % Democrat 45.0 %). Among Democrats, the Markets give Clinton a 70.8 % chance to win the nomination while expectations for a Obama victory are at 28.7 %.


Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

Answer
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Barack Obama leads John McCain 46% to 43% while McCain leads Clinton 47% to 43% .

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, Obama earns support from 46% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters while Clinton attracts 42% (see recent daily results). As of Tuesday morning, Rasmussen Markets data shows that Obama is favored to win todayâs contests in both Wisconsin and Hawaii. This evening, Rasmussen Markets data will provide the first measure of how these states may impact the overall race for the nomination.

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